Gianni Marciante

I am a Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Bologna. I received my PhD in Economics from the University of Warwick in June 2023.

My primary research fields are Economic History and Political Economy. More specifically, my current research agenda focuses on the causes and consequences of nation-building policies, the determinants of Italy's first demographic transition, and the historical roots of knowledge-based economies.

You can find my CV here.

Research

Working Papers

When Nation Building Goes South: Draft Evasion, Government Repression, and the Origins of the Sicilian Mafia   ( Draft )
Abstract: This paper examines the effects of resistance to nation building on the local market for private protection in the context of 19th-century Sicily. In 1861 the Italian central government introduced conscription in Sicily for nation-building purposes. The policy provoked an identity backlash in Sicilian society that brought about a government-led repression campaign in 1863, to curb large-scale draft evasion on the island. Using a novel dataset on episodes of government repression and historical mafia presence, I find that the Sicilian mafia was more likely to develop in towns victimised by the repression campaign, where the demand for protection was higher. To infer causality, I use an instrumental variables approach based on a network of least-cost paths connecting garrison towns that were visited by the army during the 1863 expedition. I find suggestive evidence that increasing distrust in government in repressed towns helps account for the early spread of the Sicilian mafia.
Presented at:
  • 2025: European Economic Association Congress, Bordeaux School of Economics
  • 2024: Applied Microeconomics Workshop, Free University of Bozen-Bolzano
  • 2023: CLEAN Seminar Series, Bocconi University – Economic History Seminar, Universitat Pompeu Fabra – 14th Petralia Workshop – University of Bologna – "Institutions, Civil Society and Socio-Economic Prosperity" Conference, Bocconi University – ASREC Conference, Harvard University – University of Manchester (online)
  • 2022: 47th Spanish Economic Association Simposio, Valencia – Online Economic History Workshop – University of Zurich (online) – 92nd SEA Annual Meeting, Fort Lauderdale – OWL Workshop, University of Warwick – Graduate Economic History Seminar Series, LSE – ASREC Europe Conference, University of Notre Dame London – Applied Young Economist Webinar – 34th EAEPE Annual Conference, Parthenope University of Naples – XIX World Economic History Congress, Paris – WEAI Annual Conference, Portland (online) – CAGE Summer School, University of Warwick – 14th EHES Conference, University of Groningen – 4th PhD Economics and Finance Workshop, QMUL – Annual Cliometric Conference, Vanderbilt University – 11th Annual Workshop on Growth, History and Development, Southern Denmark University – EHS Annual Conference, University of Cambridge – Tor Vergata University of Rome
  • 2021: 14th PhD Workshop in Economics, Collegio Carlo Alberto – EHS PhD Thesis Workshop (online) – ESRC Midlands Graduate School Conference, University of Birmingham (online)

Women's Education and Fertility in Italy at the Onset of the Demographic Transition   ( Abstract – Draft available soon )
Abstract: This paper studies the impact of women's education on their fertility choices in Italy at the onset of the Italian demographic transition (1881-1921). We use newly digitised panel data at the district (circondario) level to measure the literacy rate of school-age females and the associated child-woman ratio twenty years later, and we employ these variables as proxies for, respectively, early-life female education and subsequent fertility behaviour. We find that districts with higher literacy rates for young females showed lower fertility levels after two decades, also when controlling for several fertility demand and supply factors. For causal estimation we develop an instrumental variables strategy exploiting proximity to the first female normal schools (teacher-training colleges) that were opened under the Casati Law of 1859. Finally, we provide preliminary evidence on the relevance of women's economic independence as an important channel for potential effects of education on fertility.
Presented at:
  • 2025: 6th European Society of Historical Demography Conference, University of Bologna
  • 2023: 93rd SEA Annual Meeting, New Orleans – University of Bologna – EHS Annual Conference, University of Warwick
  • 2022: Sapienza University of Rome – 7th ASE Annual Meeting, Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna

Work in Progress

The Rise of the Knowledge Economy: Republic of Letters and Communication Infrastructures in Early Modern England   ( Slides available upon request )
Abstract: This paper provides a first formal investigation of the drivers of the diffusion of knowledge in England and Wales in the context of the Republic of Letters, a pan-European, correspondence-based network, formed by a community of intellectuals that shared, distributed, and evaluated knowledge. Using a novel dataset on early modern correspondence in Britain, we document a sharp increase in epistolary communications during the 17th century and identify a plausible catalyst for this change: a postal reform enacted in England in 1635 that made the British postal system openly available to the public. Taking a difference-in-differences approach, we show that locations in England and Wales hosting a postal stage in 1628 (the latest year in the pre-reform period in which we know the whole geographical distribution of the British postal network) exhibited a significant increase in the volume of total correspondence after 1635 relative to places lacking a postal stage in 1628. We also find evidence that the postal reform benefited scholars the most, as after 1635 they started interacting more both among themselves and with practitioners, publishing editors and political figures, to discuss more science-oriented issues. Finally, places with a pre-existing postal stage in 1635 saw a significant increase in innovation activity soon thereafter. These findings provide the first systematic evidence of the rise of knowledge economies in early modern Europe.
Presented at:
  • 2025: University of Bologna
  • 2024: ASREC Europe Conference, University of Macedonia – "Institutions, Human Capital, and Long-Term Development: Lessons from Pre-Modern Europe" FRESH Workshop, UC Louvain

Educational Television and Women’s Labour Market Participation in Italy: Evidence from the Telescuola TV programme
Abstract: In this paper we study the effect of the launch of an educational TV programme in Italy, titled Telescuola, on women’s inclusion in the Italian labour market in the mid-20th century. This programme, broadcast in Italy from October 1958 to June 1966, was designed to allow children living in communities where no secondary school existed to complete the full cycle of compulsory education. Telescuola Viewing Groups (PAT) were spontaneously arranged in various places, including reformatories, jails, sanatoria, hospitals, and parishes. Taking advantage of both spatial heterogeneity in the presence of PATs and exogenous variation in TV signal strength resulting from topographic factors, we use an instrumental variables approach to estimate the causal impact of Telescuola on the change in female labour force participation across Italian municipalities from 1951 to 1961.

Nation Building Through Railway Expansion

Teaching

2023 Spring: Teaching Assistant, EC201 Macroeconomics 2 (UG)
  University of Warwick
  Teaching Evaluation: 4.75/5 (Question 2) – Excellent Teaching Award
2021 Fall: Teaching Assistant, EC201 Macroeconomics 2 (UG)
  University of Warwick
  Teaching Evaluation: 4.74/5 (Question 2) – Excellent Teaching Award
2020 Spring: Lead Teaching Assistant, EC201 Macroeconomics 2 (Diploma)
  University of Warwick
  Teaching Evaluation: 4.89/5 (Question 2)
2019 Fall: Lead Teaching Assistant, EC201 Macroeconomics 2 (Diploma)
  University of Warwick
  Teaching Evaluation: 4.86/5 (Question 2)
2019 Spring: Teaching Assistant, EC201 Macroeconomics 2 (UG)
  University of Warwick
  Teaching Evaluation: 4.66/5 (Question 2)
2018 Fall: Teaching Assistant, EC201 Macroeconomics 2 (UG)
  University of Warwick
  Teaching Evaluation: 4.84/5 (Question 2)
2016 Spring: Teaching Assistant, Principles of Economics (UG)
  Politecnico di Milano
2012 Fall: Tutor, Economics and International Economics (MBA)
  MIP Politecnico di Milano School of Business

Contacts


Department of Economics
University of Bologna
Piazza Scaravilli, 2
40126 Bologna
Italy

gianni.marciante@unibo.it